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Tesla's Self-Driving Count: New Metric Boosts Subscriber Numbers to 1.74 Million

A change in reporting methodology allows Tesla to count past one-time buyers as active subscribers, significantly altering the trajectory of a key compensation milestone for its CEO.

By Khalid Rahman ·

Drivers who purchased Tesla’s Full Self-Driving software years ago are now officially counted as active subscribers in the company’s latest financial report. This shift in definition allows Tesla to claim a total of 1.74 million active FSD users, a figure that represents a 67% increase over the previous year. For ordinary consumers, this change means that the headline number used to gauge the popularity of the software no longer reflects only those paying a recurring monthly fee. It includes everyone who paid a lump sum, often as high as $15,000, before the company stopped selling the software as a one-time purchase on February 14, 2026. The new count excludes only free trials, creating a broader pool of users than previously disclosed.

Tesla detailed this methodology in a footnote within its third-quarter 2026 shareholder letter. The company explicitly stated that the metric follows the terms of the 2025 CEO Performance Award. This alignment is significant because reaching 10 million active FSD subscriptions is one of the specific operational milestones Elon Musk must achieve to earn his compensation package. By counting upfront buyers, Tesla accelerates its progress toward that target without requiring a proportional increase in monthly revenue from new subscription customers.

Prior to February 2026, buyers could choose between a one-time fee or a monthly subscription. Now, new customers in the United States can only access the feature for $99 per month. However, existing owners who paid upfront remain in the active count as long as their vehicles are operational. Despite the substantial growth, Tesla has not disclosed how many of the 1.74 million users are currently paying the monthly fee. This lack of transparency leaves investors and observers uncertain about the true size of the recurring revenue base versus the legacy installed base.

The same counting approach appears in other areas of the report. Tesla’s cumulative delivery figure, now standing at 10.2 million vehicles, includes any unsupervised robotaxis placed into commercial operation. This inclusion is designed to match the 20 million vehicle milestone in the CEO’s pay package. The consistency in these metrics suggests a deliberate strategy to align reported figures with the specific criteria set by the board for executive compensation.

In addition to subscriber counts, the company reported that more than 75% of new deliveries in North America included FSD subscriptions during the third quarter. Tesla described this as a nearly twenty percentage point increase from the previous period and suggested that the software is driving demand in markets where it is available. While this attach rate is impressive, the company did not define the metric precisely. It remains unclear whether this figure includes customers who started with introductory offers or if it accounts for long-term retention after the initial trial period.

Reactions to the report focus on the implications for Musk’s compensation structure. The 2025 award consists of 12 tranches, each requiring a market cap milestone and an operational achievement. These operational targets include delivering 20 million vehicles, reaching 10 million active FSD subscriptions, deploying 1 million Optimus robots, and operating 1 million robotaxis. As of June 30, Tesla considered only the vehicle delivery milestone to be probable. The FSD subscriber milestone remains further out of reach, though the new counting method has narrowed the gap.

Analysts note that Tesla added 260,000 net FSD subscriptions in the third quarter, marking its best performance yet. If the company maintains this pace, it would take approximately eight years to reach the 10 million target. Based on the last twelve months of growth, which averaged about 700,000 new subscribers per year, the timeline could extend to nearly twelve years. The compensation plan remains valid until 2035, giving the company several years to close the remaining distance.

What happens next will depend on Tesla’s ability to convert more monthly subscribers and retain existing users. The company has not provided a breakdown of the current subscriber base, leaving the industry to estimate the actual monthly revenue from the feature. Future reports may offer more clarity on retention rates, particularly for the high attach rate in North America. For now, the 1.74 million figure stands as the new benchmark, shaped by the specific rules of the CEO’s performance award.

Source: Electrek

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